Connahs Quay 3-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
16%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
15%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
55%
+8.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
16%
Away Win
21%
-5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.79/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barry Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
13.04.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-2 HT 0-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
22.02.2025 Barry Town Barry Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.11.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
07.09.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
02.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 7-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay beat Barry Town 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barry Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.17 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Barry Town?

Connahs Quay 3-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 63%, draw 20%, Barry Town 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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