Al Mosul 2-1 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.94/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.89
-20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Mosul vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mosul edged past Al Minaa Basra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Al Mosul made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Mosul vs Al Minaa Basra?

Al Mosul 2-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Mosul vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Minaa Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Mosul 32%, draw 28%, Al Minaa Basra 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Minaa Basra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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