Al-Qasim 0-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.78
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+7.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
61%
Away Win
70%
-9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qasim
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.04.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-1 HT 0-1 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil beat Al-Qasim 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erbil as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Erbil?

Al-Qasim 0-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 18%, draw 22%, Erbil 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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