Al Karkh 3-1 Al Zawraa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.0pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 53%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.73/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.45
-16% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karkh
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Zawraa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.06.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
24.02.2024 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 1-1 Al Karkh Al Karkh IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh saw off Al Zawraa 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Zawraa at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Karkh had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Karkh and 1.00 for Al Zawraa.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa?

Al Karkh 3-1 Al Zawraa in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Al Zawraa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 27%, draw 23%, Al Zawraa 51%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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