Al Karma 3-0 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.4pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.53/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.49
-7% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Maysan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.02.2025 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 3-2 HT 3-2 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma cruised past Naft Maysan 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Naft Maysan?

Al Karma 3-0 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 63%, draw 25%, Naft Maysan 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Karma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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