Harland & Wolff Welders 1-4 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.7
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.44
6+ Goals
10%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
71%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.2pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
2.82/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.83
+29% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harland & Wolff Welders
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Institute FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
04.10.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-1 HT 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
11.02.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
09.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 3-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.08.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
02.04.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
POST-MATCH Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC swept aside Harland & Wolff Welders 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Harland & Wolff Welders carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harland & Wolff Welders had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Harland & Wolff Welders and 1.00 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC?

Harland & Wolff Welders 1-4 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harland & Wolff Welders vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Harland & Wolff Welders 71%, draw 18%, Institute FC 11%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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