Bangor FC 1-3 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.86
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.74
X/2
15%
6.77
X/X
13%
4.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.95
2/2
10%
4.92
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.71
+38% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
415 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor FC
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
06.12.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL
11.10.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Bangor FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC beat Bangor FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bangor FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bangor FC and 0.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Bangor FC vs Glenavon FC?

Bangor FC 1-3 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bangor FC 47%, draw 25%, Glenavon FC 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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