Cliftonville 5-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.2
X/2
5%
9.32
X/X
10%
6.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.85
2/2
13%
6.9
2/X
5%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.7pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.19/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.28
+32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
01.03.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
26.12.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.11.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
24.08.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
16.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville swept aside Crusaders FC 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cliftonville and 1.33 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC?

Cliftonville 5-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 57%, draw 19%, Crusaders FC 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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