Portadown FC 1-0 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.76
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
17%
5.42
X/2
12%
5.47
X/X
9%
4.45
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.82
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.53
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
07.02.2026 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRK
20.12.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-2 HT 4-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
16.08.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-2 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
19.10.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
13.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC edged past Dungannon Swifts 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portadown FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portadown FC and 1.83 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Portadown FC 1-0 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 44%, draw 22%, Dungannon Swifts 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portadown FC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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