Iğdır FK 0-3 Esenler Erokspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.18/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.11
+13% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
15.9 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iğdır FK
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.91 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
301 Passes 323
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
12.02.2025 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 3-1 HT 0-1 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK T1L
15.09.2024 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
0-3
AWAY Esenler Erokspor
0.36 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
308 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor cruised past Iğdır FK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Esenler Erokspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 53% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 47%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.36 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Esenler Erokspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Iğdır FK and 2.33 for Esenler Erokspor.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Iğdır FK 0-3 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Esenler Erokspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 36%, draw 24%, Esenler Erokspor 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✗ BTTS Yes
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