Metropolitanos 1-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.22/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.95
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.4 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Carabobo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.50 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-4 HT 0-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
23.10.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 1-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.08.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
08.06.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.05.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-3 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
24.02.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-0 HT 2-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-1
AWAY Carabobo
0.23 xG 1.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
242 Passes 417
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Carabobo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 40% of the ball to Carabobo's 60%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.23 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.67 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Metropolitanos 1-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 34%, draw 28%, Carabobo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carabobo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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