Carabobo 1-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.33/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.54
-12% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.6 Crosses 12.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.89 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 279
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
08.06.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.05.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-3 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
24.02.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 3-0 HT 2-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
23.08.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
06.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 1-1 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
1-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.29 xG 0.54
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
519 Passes 198
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo nicked a narrow win over Metropolitanos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Carabobo had 68% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 32%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.29 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carabobo and 1.50 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs Metropolitanos?

Carabobo 1-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 52%, draw 27%, Metropolitanos 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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