Deportivo Tachira 2-3 Caracas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.58/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-1% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +66%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.8 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Caracas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.26 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
254 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
24.02.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
13.11.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
30.10.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-0 HT 1-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
22.08.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-1 HT 1-1 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
03.03.2024 Caracas FC Caracas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
2-3
AWAY Caracas FC
1.78 xG 1.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
268 Passes 229
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caracas FC squeezed past Deportivo Tachira 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Tachira carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 53% of the ball to Caracas FC's 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.78 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.33 for Caracas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC?

Deportivo Tachira 2-3 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 60%, draw 24%, Caracas FC 15%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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