Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Goytre United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2025

Caerau (Ely)
1-1
Goytre United
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Caerau (Ely) vs Goytre United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Goytre United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Goytre United EU Bookmakers 19%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +30%
2.68/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.66
+14% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Caerau (Ely) vs Goytre United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Goytre United
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 0-2 HT 0-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
02.08.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 1-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALLK
09.04.2024 Goytre United Goytre United 6-2 HT 4-2 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
08.09.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-0 HT 1-0 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Goytre United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) and Goytre United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Caerau (Ely) carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 2.25 for Goytre United.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Goytre United?

Caerau (Ely) 1-1 Goytre United in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Goytre United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 59%, draw 24%, Goytre United 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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