İzlanda U21 3-0 Macaristan U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
4.97
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.44
X/2
12%
6.3
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
5.25
2/X
13%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-10.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İzlanda U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Macaristan U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İzlanda U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Macaristan U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.12 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
401 Passes 261
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2023 Macaristan U21 Macaristan U21 0-1 HT 0-0 İzlanda U21 İzlanda U21 Dünya - U21 Hazırlık Maçları Ülkeler
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İzlanda U21
3-0
AWAY Macaristan U21
0.79 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
381 Passes 354
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İzlanda U21 vs Macaristan U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İzlanda U21 ran out comfortable winners over Macaristan U21 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day İzlanda U21 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İzlanda U21 had 49% of the ball to Macaristan U21's 51%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.79 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Macaristan U21.

What was the final score of İzlanda U21 vs Macaristan U21?

İzlanda U21 3-0 Macaristan U21 in the Friendlies on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İzlanda U21 vs Macaristan U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macaristan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split İzlanda U21 33%, draw 32%, Macaristan U21 35%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan U21) ✗ Under 2.5
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