Slovakya U21 0-1 Almanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
42%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 26% vs market 18.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
7.5
1/2
7%
20.75
1/X
8%
15.75
X/1
9%
9.93
X/2
15%
4.27
X/X
10%
5.88
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.07
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
56%
-14.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.04/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.00
+68% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +19%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
210 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya U21
0-1
AWAY Almanya U21
0.17 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
306 Passes 357
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovakya U21 vs Almanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U21 edged past Slovakya U21 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almanya U21 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slovakya U21 had 46% of the ball to Almanya U21's 54%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.17 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almanya U21's control.

What was the final score of Slovakya U21 vs Almanya U21?

Slovakya U21 0-1 Almanya U21 in the Friendlies on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya U21 vs Almanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slovakya U21 33%, draw 25%, Almanya U21 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U21), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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