Tayland 2-0 Afganistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tayland win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.7pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.5pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tayland EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Afganistan EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
427 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tayland
2-0
AWAY Afganistan
0.80 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
570 Passes 319
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
36 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tayland vs Afganistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tayland saw off Afganistan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tayland as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Tayland had 61% of the ball to Afganistan's 39%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.80 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Tayland vs Afganistan?

Tayland 2-0 Afganistan in the Friendlies on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tayland vs Afganistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Tayland 63%, draw 23%, Afganistan 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tayland), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tayland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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