Fransa U21 5-3 İngiltere U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.41
1/2
5%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
16%
5.62
X/2
10%
6.21
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 6% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
39%
+9.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
34%
-9.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY İngiltere U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.21
+32% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
13.0 Crosses 8.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fransa U21
4W-0D-1L
AWAY İngiltere U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.88 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
488 Passes 452
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2023 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 4-0 HT 0-0 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 HAZ
18.06.2019 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 1-2 HT 0-0 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 U21
14.11.2016 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 3-2 HT 1-1 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 HAZ
17.11.2014 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 3-2 HT 2-2 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 HAZ
31.03.2009 İngiltere U21 İngiltere U21 0-2 HT 0-2 Fransa U21 Fransa U21 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransa U21
5-3
AWAY İngiltere U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Fransa U21 vs İngiltere U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fransa U21 saw off İngiltere U21 5-3. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fransa U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Fransa U21 had 54% of the ball to İngiltere U21's 46%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fransa U21 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fransa U21 and 1.80 for İngiltere U21.

What was the final score of Fransa U21 vs İngiltere U21?

Fransa U21 5-3 İngiltere U21 in the Friendlies on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U21 vs İngiltere U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fransa U21 49%, draw 27%, İngiltere U21 24%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fransa U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fransa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
21 Mar 2025
16:00 İzlanda U21 vs Macaristan U21 Analysis →
16:00 Tayland vs Afganistan Analysis →
17:00 Litvanya U21 vs Letonya U21 Analysis →
17:00 Arnavutluk U19 vs Kuzey Makedonya U19 Analysis →
20:00 İsviçre U21 vs Avusturya U21 Analysis →
20:00 Slovakya U21 vs Almanya U21 Analysis →