Portekiz U21 0-1 Romanya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
22%
4.75
2-3 Goals
45%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.75 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.58
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.9
X/1
25%
3.84
X/2
12%
16.0
X/X
6%
7.44
2/1
5%
20.7
2/2
3%
13.25
2/X
11%
21.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Portekiz U21 win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U21 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya U21 EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.97/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.13
+31% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
464 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U21
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Romanya U21
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
451 Passes 247
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
46 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
24.03.2023 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 0-2 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 HAZ
07.09.2018 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 1-2 HT 0-0 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 U21
10.11.2017 Romanya U21 Romanya U21 1-1 HT 0-1 Portekiz U21 Portekiz U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U21
0-1
AWAY Romanya U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portekiz U21 vs Romanya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U21 edged past Portekiz U21 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Portekiz U21 carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portekiz U21 had 59% of the ball to Romanya U21's 41%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portekiz U21 and 1.00 for Romanya U21.

What was the final score of Portekiz U21 vs Romanya U21?

Portekiz U21 0-1 Romanya U21 in the Friendlies on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U21 vs Romanya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U21 61%, draw 22%, Romanya U21 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portekiz U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portekiz U21) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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