Türkiye U21 2-1 Kosova U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosova U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.89/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +74%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye U21
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kosova U21
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.03.2023 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 4-2 Kosova U21 Kosova U21 HAZ
17.11.2020 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Kosova U21 Kosova U21 U21
11.06.2019 Kosova U21 Kosova U21 3-1 HT 1-0 Türkiye U21 Türkiye U21 U21
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye U21
2-1
AWAY Kosova U21
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Türkiye U21 vs Kosova U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye U21 edged past Kosova U21 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Türkiye U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Türkiye U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Türkiye U21 and 1.67 for Kosova U21.

What was the final score of Türkiye U21 vs Kosova U21?

Türkiye U21 2-1 Kosova U21 in the Friendlies on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye U21 vs Kosova U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Türkiye U21 51%, draw 22%, Kosova U21 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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