Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
32%
-7.8pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.02
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-2 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
11.10.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-3 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
28.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
16.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
0-1
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo edged past Radnik Sesvete 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Radnik Sesvete at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 50% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 50%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 2.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Bijelo Brdo?

Radnik Sesvete 0-1 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 41%, draw 24%, Bijelo Brdo 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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