Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.25
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Venados
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2 Corners 6
05.10.2024 Venados Venados 5-1 HT 3-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
24.03.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 2-0 Venados Venados MEK2
23.08.2023 Venados Venados 4-3 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
27.06.2022 Venados Venados 1-3 HT 0-2 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.02.2022 Venados Venados 2-2 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Venados couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 2.33 for Venados.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Venados?

Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated an Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 36%, draw 27%, Venados 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venados) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
21 Mar 2025
06:00 Leones Negros Udeg vs Monarcas Morelia Analysis →