Buxton 3-0 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.29
Over
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.32
2-3
40%
1.84
4-5
24%
2.73
6+
11%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town The Market 30%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.70/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.12
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bedford Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2025 Bedford Town Bedford Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
3-0
AWAY Bedford Town
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton cruised past Bedford Town 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buxton had 68% of the ball to Bedford Town's 32%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Bedford Town?

Buxton 3-0 Bedford Town in the England - Conference on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Buxton 51%, draw 21%, Bedford Town 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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