Ipswich Town 1-1 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Mar 2026

Ipswich Town
1-1 HT 1-0
Millwall
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Ipswich Town vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.22
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
6%
9.11
X/X
12%
5.11
2/1
8%
22.65
2/2
10%
7.16
2/X
5%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Ipswich Town win — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ipswich Town v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.05/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.34
+32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
354 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.9 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ipswich Town vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Millwall
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
383 Passes 212
76% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.12.2025 Millwall Millwall 0-0 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.02.2024 Millwall Millwall 0-4 HT 0-3 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
29.11.2023 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
01.01.2019 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-3 HT 1-0 Millwall Millwall İNCL
27.10.2018 Millwall Millwall 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
02.04.2018 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-2 HT 0-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL

Ipswich Town 1-1 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-1
AWAY Millwall
1.48 xG 1.64
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
346 Passes 151
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
44 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ipswich Town and Millwall shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ipswich Town at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 64% of the ball to Millwall's 36%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.48 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.50 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Millwall?

Ipswich Town 1-1 Millwall in the England - Championship on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 57%, draw 23%, Millwall 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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