Sheffield United 1-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 21 Mar 2026

Sheffield United
1-2 HT 0-0
Wrexham
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Sheffield United vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.57
X/2
14%
7.67
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
10%
5.69
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.65/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.73
+11% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.2 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Sheffield United vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Wrexham
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
2.48 xG 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
375 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.12.2025 Wrexham Wrexham 5-3 HT 2-3 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
13.08.2024 Sheffield United Sheffield United 4-2 HT 1-1 Wrexham Wrexham İNLK
07.02.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
29.01.2023 Wrexham Wrexham 3-3 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK

Sheffield United 1-2 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
1-2
AWAY Wrexham
2.48 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
441 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham nicked a narrow win over Sheffield United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sheffield United had 60% of the ball to Wrexham's 40%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.48 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sheffield United.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Sheffield United and 2.75 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Sheffield United 1-2 Wrexham in the England - Championship on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 46%, draw 24%, Wrexham 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sheffield United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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