Sheffield United 4-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.51
Over 2.5
44%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.41
2-3 Goals
46%
2.0
4-5 Goals
19%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.41 — our 26% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.29
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.53
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
8%
20.2
2/2
10%
5.57
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
36%
+19.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
64%
-19.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.9pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 29%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Wrexham
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.48 xG 2.08
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
328 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham FAK
29.01.2023 Wrexham Wrexham 3-3 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
4-2
AWAY Wrexham
3.06 xG 1.56
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
526 Passes 191
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United got the better of Wrexham 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sheffield United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sheffield United had 67% of the ball to Wrexham's 33%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 3.06 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sheffield United and 2.00 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Sheffield United 4-2 Wrexham in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 48%, draw 27%, Wrexham 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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