Sligo Rovers 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
17%
25.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
6%
8.72
X/2
17%
4.18
X/X
15%
4.45
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.37
2/X
4%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 17% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.00/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.59
-7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -35%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
220 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
17.2 Crosses 24.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-1 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
02.08.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
23.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
28.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-2 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
27.09.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
10.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
1.15 xG 0.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
284 Passes 311
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne nicked a narrow win over Sligo Rovers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 49% of the ball to Shelbourne's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.15 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.83 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Sligo Rovers 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 22%, draw 26%, Shelbourne 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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