Shelbourne 3-1 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.98
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.65
X/1
19%
4.0
X/2
5%
11.0
X/X
11%
5.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.1
2/2
11%
9.16
2/X
5%
17.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.73/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.76
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.6 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
23.05.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 2-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
28.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-2 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
27.09.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
10.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
31.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
3-1
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.32 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
445 Passes 362
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne got the better of Sligo Rovers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shelbourne had 53% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 47%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shelbourne and 1.17 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Shelbourne 3-1 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 59%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Over 2.5
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