St Patricks 1-0 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.18
6+ Goals
7%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.37
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
10%
6.4
X/X
12%
3.99
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
18%
4.83
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.03/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.09
-34% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.6 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
18.04.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
07.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
27.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
1-0
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.01 xG 0.57
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
281 Passes 578
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks nicked a narrow win over Shamrock Rovers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, St Patricks had 34% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 66%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.01 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St Patricks and 1.67 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

St Patricks 1-0 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 43%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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