Drogheda United 1-0 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.0
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.15
X/1
14%
3.91
X/2
9%
11.1
X/X
10%
5.13
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
8%
9.64
2/X
7%
18.35
Value flag · 1/X at 16.15 — our 9% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -22%
1.82/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.58
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
401 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
17.9 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cork City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
194 Passes 258
60% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
05.05.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-2 HT 1-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
28.03.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
25.08.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
30.06.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
02.06.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-0
AWAY Cork City
1.41 xG 0.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 0
254 Passes 214
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 8
43 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United squeezed past Cork City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 57% of the ball to Cork City's 43%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Drogheda United and 1.17 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Cork City?

Drogheda United 1-0 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 52%, draw 26%, Cork City 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
17 Oct 2025
21:45 St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Galway United vs Bohemians Analysis →
21:45 Waterford FC vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →