Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Waterford FC v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Waterford FC 1-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City edged past Waterford FC 2-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Waterford FC had 53% of the ball to Derry City's 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.40 to 0.89 — on chances, Waterford FC could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waterford FC and 2.50 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Derry City?
Waterford FC 1-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 27%, draw 25%, Derry City 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.