Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Waterford FC v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Waterford FC vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Waterford FC 1-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City found just enough to beat Waterford FC 2-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, Waterford FC had 53% of the ball to Derry City's 47%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.40 to 0.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Waterford FC.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Waterford FC and 2.50 for Derry City.
Waterford FC vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Waterford FC 1 - 2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Waterford FC vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 27%, draw 27%, Derry City 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.