Shamrock Rovers 4-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.46
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
17%
4.2
X/2
8%
8.68
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
7.4
2/X
9%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -15%
1.41/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.20
+9% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
19.2 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.17 xG 1.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
381 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
07.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
27.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.06.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
05.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4-0
AWAY St Patricks
1.03 xG 2.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 11
418 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers cruised past St Patricks 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 58% of the ball to St Patricks's 42%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.03 to 2.08 — on chances, St Patricks could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.83 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Shamrock Rovers 4-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 43%, draw 30%, St Patricks 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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