Schott Mainz 4-2 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
55%
Away Win
50%
+5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schott Mainz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 54%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.09/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.28
-17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schott Mainz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 4-1 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
02.12.2023 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 2-2 HT 1-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 1-0 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
26.10.2021 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz 3-1 HT 2-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
20.03.2021 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 2-1 Schott Mainz Schott Mainz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schott Mainz vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schott Mainz saw off Astoria Walldorf 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Astoria Walldorf at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Astoria Walldorf led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Schott Mainz and 2.33 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of Schott Mainz vs Astoria Walldorf?

Schott Mainz 4-2 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schott Mainz vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Schott Mainz 24%, draw 21%, Astoria Walldorf 55%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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