Lehnerz 2-1 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.56
No
33%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
67%
BTTS Yes
60%
+7.1pp
33%
BTTS No
40%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.63/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.47
-3% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Freiburg II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.09.2025 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-1 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
05.04.2025 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
04.10.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz nicked a narrow win over Freiburg II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lehnerz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Freiburg II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lehnerz and 1.00 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Freiburg II?

Lehnerz 2-1 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 43%, draw 22%, Freiburg II 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lehnerz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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