Freiburg II 2-1 Lehnerz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.19/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.33
+39% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lehnerz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
05.04.2025 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
04.10.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Lehnerz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg II nicked a narrow win over Lehnerz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Freiburg II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Freiburg II and 0.50 for Lehnerz.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Lehnerz?

Freiburg II 2-1 Lehnerz in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Lehnerz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 40%, draw 23%, Lehnerz 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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