Lehnerz 1-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.41
-21% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
298 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Freiburg II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.10.2024 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz edged past Freiburg II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Freiburg II?

Lehnerz 1-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 35%, draw 24%, Freiburg II 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Freiburg II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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