Weiche Flensburg 1-1 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.9pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
2.14/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.84
+20% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-3 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
20.10.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-2 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
17.03.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-5 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
06.04.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-4 HT 0-1 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weiche Flensburg and St. Pauli II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Weiche Flensburg at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.67 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?

Weiche Flensburg 1-1 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 52%, draw 23%, St. Pauli II 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weiche Flensburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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