Vila Nova 2-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Mar 2026

Vila Nova
2-2 HT 0-1
CRB
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2026

Vila Nova vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.31/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.06
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.2 Crosses 14.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vila Nova vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CRB
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
306 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.11.2025 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
23.07.2025 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
05.09.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
18.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
03.09.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.05.2023 CRB CRB 0-3 HT 0-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova and CRB couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 0.67 for CRB.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs CRB?

Vila Nova 2-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 45%, draw 27%, CRB 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vila Nova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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