Nomme United 2-3 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.41
No
40%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.8pp
40%
BTTS No
33%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-2 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
11.08.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 0-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
04.07.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-1 HT 2-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
05.04.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 2-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
2-3
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu edged past Nomme United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nomme United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme United had 52% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 48%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nomme United and 1.50 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Nomme United 2-3 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 47%, draw 25%, JK Tammeka Tartu 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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