Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.25
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
17%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
76%
-6.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
2.50/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.38
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-1 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
31.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
12.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.11.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.08.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
4-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju cruised past FC Kuressaare 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 59% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 41%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 69%, draw 17%, FC Kuressaare 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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