FC Kuressaare 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
65%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+2.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.3pp
65%
Away Win
67%
-2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 71%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.13/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.71
+9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
217 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
12.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.11.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.08.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
0-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju nicked a narrow win over FC Kuressaare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 38% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 62%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FC Kuressaare and 3.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

FC Kuressaare 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 17%, draw 18%, Nomme JK Kalju 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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