Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 53%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
0.73/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.69
-46% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +76%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 1-2 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
27.05.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-2 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.03.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.10.2024 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
23.09.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
18.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1-0
AWAY Trans Narva
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool edged past Trans Narva 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Trans Narva at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 39% of the ball to Trans Narva's 61%, shots finished 10-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 2.33 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Trans Narva?

Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 26%, draw 22%, Trans Narva 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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