Trans Narva 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
+0.1pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.25/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.85
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-2 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.03.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
31.10.2024 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-3 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva ESTK
23.09.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
18.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
02.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 2-0 HT 0-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-3
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool beat Trans Narva 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Trans Narva carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trans Narva had 64% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 36%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Trans Narva and 0.83 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Trans Narva 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 65%, draw 20%, Harju Jalgpallikool 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trans Narva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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