Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.9pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.77
+6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-2 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
09.03.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
06.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
22.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond and Nomme JK Kalju shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 20% / 42% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 55% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 45%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 38%, draw 20%, Nomme JK Kalju 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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