Nomme JK Kalju 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 34%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.93/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.57
+94% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
05.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
06.10.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
01.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-4 HT 0-3 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
22.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
08.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
0-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond beat Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Paide Linnameeskond found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 43% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 57%, shots finished 5-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.00 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Nomme JK Kalju 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 37%, draw 26%, Paide Linnameeskond 37%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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