FC Levadia 2-2 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 May 2025

📅28/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.7pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +27%
2.51/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.98
-1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Levadia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
22.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
10.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
19.05.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
20.04.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-1 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
01.11.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Levadia
2-2
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia and Parnu JK Vaprus shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Levadia at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Levadia had 67% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 33%, shots finished 22-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Levadia and 0.67 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Levadia 2-2 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Levadia 60%, draw 23%, Parnu JK Vaprus 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Levadia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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