Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 FC Kuressaare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
12%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
-0.0pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.7pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.0pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.60/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.55
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Kuressaare
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
12.04.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-2 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.11.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
18.08.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
18.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
02.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 0-6 HT 0-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-0
AWAY FC Kuressaare
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju beat FC Kuressaare 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 64% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 36%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.33 for FC Kuressaare.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Kuressaare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 72%, draw 16%, FC Kuressaare 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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