Auxerre 3-0 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Mar 2026

Auxerre
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Brest
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.02
Away
27%
3.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.41
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
16%
4.56
6+
3%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.21
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.8
X/2
10%
6.52
X/X
21%
3.82
2/1
2%
30.5
2/2
15%
5.16
2/X
5%
14.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Auxerre The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest The Market 32%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.18 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
325 Passes 370
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2026 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
14.02.2025 Brest Brest 2-2 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
27.09.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 3-0 HT 2-0 Brest Brest FR1
14.05.2023 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
02.10.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
11.02.2019 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
3 - 0
AWAY Brest
1.28 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
241 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Auxerre vs Brest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Auxerre overpowered Brest 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (60%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Auxerre had 44% of the ball to Brest's 56%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Auxerre and 1.17 for Brest.

Auxerre vs Brest Result & Final Score

Auxerre 3 - 0 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Brest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 42%, draw 31%, Brest 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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