Nice 0-4 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Mar 2026

Nice
0 - 4 HT 0 - 1
PSG
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.22
Draw
18%
4.36
Away Pick
68%
1.45
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.25
Over
63%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.56
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
30%
2.74
6+
11%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.58
1/2
4%
19.75
1/X
4%
18.05
X/1
6%
12.35
X/2
21%
4.04
X/X
10%
6.77
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
43%
1.77
2/X
4%
16.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nice The Market 19%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 69%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.46
2.04 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 85%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PSG
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.85
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
252 Passes 672
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Nice Nice FR1
25.04.2025 PSG PSG 1-3 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
06.10.2024 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
15.05.2024 Nice Nice 1-2 HT 1-2 PSG PSG FR1
13.03.2024 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 2-1 Nice Nice FRK
15.09.2023 PSG PSG 2-3 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
0 - 4
AWAY PSG
0.29 xG 4.13
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
190 Passes 675
79% Pass Accuracy 93%
10 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Nice vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG overpowered Nice 4-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

The match data tells the story: PSG saw more of the ball, 74% to 26%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.29 to 4.13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Nice against 1.67 for PSG.

Nice vs PSG Result & Final Score

Nice 0 - 4 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nice vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Nice 14%, draw 18%, PSG 68%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026
19:00 Toulouse vs Lorient Analysis →
21:00 Auxerre vs Brest Analysis →