Caersws 1-0 Y Rhyl 1879 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
3%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
15%
Draw
24%
-8.1pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Y Rhyl 1879 EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.83/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caersws
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Y Rhyl 1879
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
16.08.2025 Y Rhyl 1879 3-0 HT 1-0 Caersws Caersws GALFAW
19.07.2025 Y Rhyl 1879 2-1 HT 0-0 Caersws Caersws GALLK
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Y Rhyl 1879
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caersws nicked a narrow win over Y Rhyl 1879 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caersws as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Y Rhyl 1879 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Caersws and 2.50 for Y Rhyl 1879.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Y Rhyl 1879?

Caersws 1-0 Y Rhyl 1879 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Y Rhyl 1879?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caersws win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Caersws 46%, draw 15%, Y Rhyl 1879 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caersws) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caersws) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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